1.

According to 2007 assembly election results, BJP should win 21 Lok Sabha seats in Gujarat. Will BJP be able to repeat assembly performance?

2.

As per a new delimitation, LK Advani’s Gandhinagar Lok Sabha constituency has 7 lakh lesser voters compare to 2004 elections. So it is very possible that his victory margin will be lower this time in numbers compared to previous elections. However percentage wise, Advani has consistently got 59 to 61 % vote share in Gandhinagar. So, will it be similar this time?

3.

What would be a fashionable statement of Mallika Sarabhai after loosing the election and deposit both?

4.

How many of three central Ministers contesting from Gujarat will win? Shankarsinh Vaghela, Dinsha Patel, Naran Rathwa? All three have spent huge bucks to win, but Vaghela is outsider candidate in Godhra, Dinsha faces anti-incumbency while Rathwa is facing photo finish fight from rival Ex-BJP MP.

5.

When all of Gujarat’s theaters and multiplexes had taken a united stand on not showing Aamir Khan’s film Fanaa protesting his stand on Narmada Project, Jamnagar’s Congress MP Vikram Madam released Fanaa in his theater. One Brahmin Gujarat-lover-youth protested Madam’s act by self immolation and died. Fanaa’s producer Yash Chopra ensured exit of Fanaa from Madam’s theater immediately after this, but Madama didn’t apologize for his act. This Congress man Madam should loose. Will he loose, or win?

6.

There are several sitting MLAs in fray this election. By-elections are sure to come within next six months in Gujarat as (1)some of the sitting MLAs would win and vacate assembly seat, (2)MLA Bhavsinh Rathod who is contesting on Patan seat from BJP has already resigned from the assembly and (3)Chotila’s Congress MLA Popatbhai Jinjariya recently passed away. So which MLAs will win? Mukesh Gadhvi(Banaskantha-Congress), Jagdish Thakor(Patan-Congress), Shailesh Parmar(Ahmedabad West-Congress), Devusinh Chauhan(Kheda-BJP), Dinubhai Solanki(BJP-Junagadh), Vitthal Radadiya(Porbandar-Congress), Kunvarjibhai Bavaliya(Rajkot-Congress)? Who and how many?

7.

Gordhan Zadafia who could not tolerate Narendra Modi and left BJP to form right-wing MahaGujarat Janata Party is hoping to win from Bhavnagar. Will this candidate banking on Patel votes win? His party’s half a dozen other candidates are also in fray in various constituencies. How many of MJP’s candidate will loose deposits? How many of MJP’s candidates will come out as decisive or spoiling factor? MJP’s one of the most prominent candidates is Fakirbhai Chauhan who is contesting Surat seat. How many votes he would be able to secure?

8.

Since 1984, Gujarat has not elected even a single Muslim MP. This election, Muslims including Congress President Sonia Gandhi’s political adviser Ahmed Patel have worked hard to ensure victory of Congress candidate Aziz Tankarvi from Bharuch. Tankarvi is editor of Gujarati daily Gujarat Today which is famous among Muslims in Gujarat. However BJP’s sitting tribal MP Mansukh Vasava is very strong. Will Muslim mass voting work? Or Vasava will win again? Will Gujarat elect a Muslim MP?

9.

How many votes independent candidate Khimji Patadiya will be able to secure on Surendranagar Lok Sabha seat. Khimji Patadiya is Gujarat’s richest Lok Sabha candidate. He is India’s one of the richest candidates.

10.

How many women MPs Gujarat will give this election? Kutch BJP candidate Punam Jat may win due to BJP’s strong organization in Kutch, but what about BJP’s Mehsana candidate Jayshriben Patel? Local BJP unit was not happy with her candidature. BJP almost made a clean sweep in Mehsana in assembly elections. Congress’s strong segment Kalol went to Gandhinagar seat after delimitation. Thus it seems a tough fight for sitting Congress MP Jivabhai Patel. However Jivabhai has spent huge bucks during campaign. Let’s talk about another woman candidate, Prabha Taviyad who is contesting on Dahod seat from Congress. Prabha lost last election by less than 400 votes margin. Will she win this election or loose again? With how much margin? BJP’s another first time woman candidate Darshna Jardosh who is contesting from BJP’s strong hold Surat faces tough fight. If she win, how much will be a margin? Congress party did not give ticket to sitting Amreli MP because of his scams however Congress allotted a ticket to her wife Nilaben Thumar who was novice in politics. Will Amreli’s people elect another Thumar?

11.

Gujarat Congress President Siddharth Patel predicts that the Congress would snatch four seats from BJP in Gujarat. These seats are Surendranagar, Dahod, Porbandar and Rajkot. What will happen really?

12.

BJP’s newly discovered surprise candidates will work? Rajkot candidate Kiran Patel joined BJP couple of days before announcement of his candidature! Though Rajkot is rock-solid BJP bastion, his rival Congress candidate is strong and there has been tough fight. BJP’s Ahmedabad candidate Dr.Kirit Solanki was another surprise name. Kiranbhai or Kiritbhai have not fought even a Panchayat election. Kutch’s Punamben Jat(Kutch), Mansukhbhai Khachariya(Porbandar), Rameshbhai Mundhra(Jamnagar), Ritesh Vasava(Bardoli), Dhirubhai Patel(Valsad) are all surprise candidates. Shall they work?

13.

In a surprise move, BJP announced sitting Congress MLA from Sami-Harij, Bhavsinhji Rathod as it’s candidate for Patan Lok Sabha seat. Bhavsinh had not even joined BJP when his name was announced. Bhavsinh is ex-decoit, he has been in jail for months in narcotic landing case. His son was arrested in fake currency scam. Bhavsinh hails from Thakor community which has strong voting presence in Patan constituency. Congress gave ticket to Dehgam MLA Jagdish Thakor to woo Thakors. MahaGujarat Janata Party’s Patel candidate worked hard to ensure some thousand votes. Bhavsinh has already resigned from assembly as he has changed his party. Which Thakor will win? Mr. BJP Thakor or Congress Thakor?

14.

In Gujarat, it is said that whoever wins Valsad seat, his party forms a government at centre. Valsad has sitting Congress MP, challenged by BJP’s doctor candidate who is master in treating snake bites. Will BJP be able to snatch this seat from Congress? Or Congress will continue it’s dominance on this seat?

15.

Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad(West), Ahmedabad(East), Vadodara, Surat, Navsari and Rajkot are urban dominated or pure urban seats in Gujarat. In Gujarat, urban voters have backed BJP in almost all recent elections. Will urban voters continue to back the BJP even in this election result?

16.

Which channel’s opinion poll will prove correct in Gujarat? India TV predicts 19 seats for BJP, NDTV 18, Star News and NewsX 16, BJP’s internal survey 20 and Congress’s internal survey 10 to 12.