Ahmedabad, 2 July 2012

A pre-assembly election opinion poll survey conducted by Taleem Research Foundation has thrown up following results.

-Tentative conclusions suggest the BJP having a higher chance of winning elections and forming a government in 2012.

–The survey found that rural voters are more likely to give a helping hand to the ruling party than urban voters.

-Cross tabulation of 2007 assembly poll results against this survey indicates that both the parties are likely to lose several of their strongholds.

-Price hike was the most important issue among voters followed by corruption and law and order problems.

-43.8% of men and 42.5% of women expressed their intention to vote in the 2012 elections while 29.4% refused to reveal their intentions.

-61% believed that development had taken place in Gujarat.

-42.5% of those surveyed said incidence of corruption had gone down during Narendra Modi’s rule.

-More urban than rural voters thought that the government’s Krishi Mela and Garib Kalyan Mela’s benefited those it intended to benefit.

-43.2% plan to vote for the BJP, 27% for the Congress.

-5 out of 12 constituencies won by Congress in 2007 showed intention to shift to BJP .

-Eight out of 29 constituencies want to elect Congress.

The survey conducted to study election issues of 2012 and voters’ party orientation covered 41 of the 182 assembly constituencies. 4,920 people were covered of which 52.9% were men. The data collected between May 19 and 27, 2012, and June 10 and 16, 2012 using Gujarati interview schedule showed that political participation continued to be low. Binod C Agrawal, director general, Taleem Research Foundation said they will also be conducting two more such surveys. One will be around September while the other will be close to the actual assembly elections.

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