Gandhinagar: A cyclone might be brewing in the Arabian Sea next week, which may affect coastal areas of Gujarat, said veteran weather forecaster Ambalal Patel who had predicted cyclone Biporjoy and its date, well over a year ago in writing.

Informing about the probable cyclone, Patel said, “Movement might be observed in the Arabian Sea on October 16th, and a low-pressure system may form on October 18, potentially developing into a cyclonic storm from October 22nd to 24th. It is forecasted that the storm will move towards Oman, likely bringing heavy rain to Saurashtra. However, if the cyclone changes its trajectory and moves toward Gujarat, the entire state will experience heavy rainfall. Coastal areas of the state will experience heavy winds on October 17th.”

“Gujarat state is likely to witness rain at isolated places from October 15 to 20 due to a western disturbance,” Patel added.

A weather forecasting agency has also reported that conditions in the southeastern Arabian Sea, near the equatorial region, suggest the possibility of a cyclonic disturbance emerging. However, it is too early to provide definite predictions. The expectation is for a cyclonic circulation to develop in the Southeast Arabian Sea around October 15th, potentially evolving into a low-pressure area in the extreme South-Central part of the ocean.

These sea-born disturbances have a minimal chance of changing course towards the Indian coastline. Even when these systems become notably strong, historical climate data indicates that they typically move towards Somalia, the Gulf of Aden, Socotra Islands, Yemen, and Oman, the agency further said.

However, the India Meteorological Department, in its latest forecast dated October 14th, states that there is no probability of cyclone formation in the next 168 hours, which equates to 7 days, either in the Arabian Sea or the Bay of Bengal. DeshGujarat