Ahmedabad, 28 October 2014

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Further weakened Nilofar cyclone is good news for Gujarat. It is believed that Nilofar will not bring much wind and will only bring downpour in areas of its impact.

Paul Gross: Nilofar wind down. Forecast uncertain. May hit India/Pakistan border area Friday as weak tropical storm.

BBC Weather: Nilofar cyclone should weaken quickly as it drifts towards Bhuj.

Indian Weatherman: Nilofar – Models expect the cyclone to weaken rapidly and “may” reach Kutch, South Pakistan as a low on 31st October.

Accuweather: India, Pakistan to escape worst of tropical cyclone.

Jugal Purohit(TV journalist): Cyclone Nilofar downgraded. Will further lose steam before turning into a depression and hitting Gujarat Coast tomorrow evening.

Salman Ali Faridi: Cyclone Nilofar weakens dramatically as it moves toward Pakistan. It may only be a rain threat at this point.

Skymet Weather: Very severe cyclonic storm Nilofar weakens to a severe cyclonic storm. Likely to weaken further in to a cyclonic system.

Hurricane Pro/JD: Tropical cyclone Nilofar advisory: 10,60 kt/689 mph winds, 19.7N 63.9E, moving North East at 10 kt/12 mph ( at 8.01 am).

For more clarity reads this article: India, Pakistan to Escape Worst of Tropical Cyclone Nilofar which says: Widespread life-threatening flooding rain is not anticipated. However, localized downpours can still occur and cause isolated flash flooding.The greatest opportunity for the downpours will come if Nilofar’s center manages to follow the showers and thunderstorms into Pakistan and India.Even if this occurs, these areas will escape widespread damaging winds as the cyclone would weaken to a tropical depression before moving inland.It is also possible that Nilofar’s center could get left behind in the northeastern Arabian Sea through at least the weekend. In this scenario, Nilofar’s center will become nothing more than a swirl of clouds with a few showers and wind less than 40 kph (25 mph) by Sunday.Despite Nilofar rapidly weakening, rough seas will continue to create dangerous conditions for boaters in the northern Arabian Sea through Friday. Hazards for swimmers will also exist along the coasts of Oman, eastern Iran, Pakistan and northwestern India.The rough seas danger will diminish this weekend with Nilofar.